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Fresh Evidence Points at Global Warming ‘Pause’ in the Early 2000s

February 26, 2016 By Elisabeth 4 Comments

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'the Namib Desert'

A group of noted climate researchers found that global warming did slow down at the turn of the century.

Climate change skeptics rejoice! A team of top-notch researchers brought new evidence that global warming hiatus may be real in a study published in Nature Climate Change. Scientists say that they detected a slowdown in the rate of global temperature rise in the early 2000s.

The findings are at odds with National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s conclusions, which have dismissed any trace of a pause in global warming. Yet, the issue remains controversial.

Three years ago, the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change said that there was indeed a slowdown in global warming between 1998 and 2012 as compared with 1951 levels.

Nevertheless, the panel noted that ‘natural variability’ and short term records may tamper with the accuracy of their scientific finding. The group also said that the study results may not reflect long-term trends in climate science.

Yet, the report was often cited by climate change deniers as the strongest evidence that global warming theory may be biased from start ever since. But recent studies have challenged the 2013 conclusions.

The most notable research was conducted by the NOAA, which found that the ‘pause’ never existed. The agency based its conclusions on ‘newly corrected and updated’ data on changes in sea temperatures in the last decades.

Another study dismissed the notion of a global warming pause simply because scientists worldwide hadn’t reached a consensus on what a global warming hiatus may be. And the most popular definition of the hiatus doesn’t hold water over long-term periods.

But a recent study brings the global warming pause into the limelight once more. Top climate researchers from the National Center for Atmospheric Research, the Canadian Center for Climate Modeling and Analysis (whose John Fyfe led the team), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, and Penn State University currently say that global warming slowdown was real.

They cite rates of global surface warming in the early 2000s that are slower than the average rates generated through computer simulations. Nevertheless, the team didn’t reach the conclusion that global warming is no more.

Stephan Lewandowsky from the University of Bristol and co-author of several studies questioning the pause explained that the new research paper simply found a mismatch between climate change models for the early 2000s and actual climate data.

Lewandowsky added that he talked to Fyfe’s team, and they all agreed on the fact that global warming is far from over.

Image Source: Wikimedia

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Filed Under: Science Tagged With: Climate change, climate change deniers, global warming pause, global warming slowdown, NOAA, U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Comments

  1. Ohriginal says

    February 26, 2016 at 12:42

    I always laugh at the phrase “Global Warming Pause”. For a bunch of “scientists” who have been consistently wrong in their predictions, climatologists sure know how to put to use a good marketing spin. Their lack of reproducible data and consistent failures to predict temperature changes would would have them laughed out of any of the other scientific communities, but still they manage to salvage their public perception every time.

  2. E Lombardi says

    February 26, 2016 at 13:31

    Its very odd that if 2015, 2008, 2005, 1998 are so close to being the warmest year on record, how could there be any significant warming for almost twenty years. The only way this works is if you eliminate inconvenient data sets that weaken the main premise that all warming is anthropomorphic. Even the presidents clean energy goals seeks to lower emissions to 2005 levels, it seems to me that atmospheric CO2 levels were increasing 2005.

  3. Connolly says

    February 26, 2016 at 14:00

    Hilarious, probably will repeat last years theme of blaming polar vortexes, frozen solid great lakes, slurpy waves and ice blobs invading new England beaches and record breaking cold (and blaming everything else) on global warming. Right, not cold but insane record breaking cold nothing to see here just a “pause”!

  4. Leslie Graham says

    February 29, 2016 at 01:55

    Stunning ignorance displayed here from the usual gullible dupes.
    2015 was FAR warmer than 98.
    2005, 2010 and 2014 were also warmer despite no Super El Nino.
    2016 is going to be even hotter bar some massive eruption.

    It’s difficult to believe that there are still a few fools out there who still suck up the garbage from the fossil fuel lobby.
    Everything the science projected is happening right now and we have barely started. I hope you all live another 20 years so you can see how ignorant you were.

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